Criss-cross modeling of TB
- Prelegent(ci)
- Marcin Choiński (doktorant MIM)
- Termin
- 23 listopada 2016 14:15
- Pokój
- p. 4050
- Seminarium
- Seminarium Zakładu Biomatematyki i Teorii Gier
We consider a criss-cross model describing tuberculosis epidemic
dynamics. The case in study considers Warmian-Masurian province of
Poland and is related to actions of active detecting of tuberculosis in
homeless people subpopulation. In the model the population is divided
into subpopulations of non-homeless and homeless people. Each of the
subpopulation consists of two groups - susceptible and infected people.
The analysis of model will be presented. The most important property of
the model is related to its Malthusian origin. This means that in
general the size of the whole population (meaning homeless and
non-homeless together) grows unboundedly or the population goes to
extinction. It can also happen that the subpopulation of non-homeless
people goes to extinction while the subpopulation of homeless people
grows unboundedly, which seems to be absurd. Therefore, we propose a
modification of this model.